Penerapan Metode Earned Value Management Berbasis Microsoft Project Dengan Integrasi Artificial Neural Network Untuk Pengendalian Waktu Dan Biaya Proyek (Studi Kasus: Pembangunan Gedung Direktorat Reserse Kriminal Khusus Polda Jawa Timur)

Author


Hamdal Afridho(1Mail), Mas Suryanto HS(2),
(1) Program Studi S1 Teknik Sipil, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Negeri Surabaya,
(2) Program Studi S1 Teknik Sipil, Fakultas Teknik, Universitas Negeri Surabaya,

Mail Corresponding Author
Article Analytic
  [File Size: 1MB]  Language: en
Available online: 2026-10-24  |  Published : 2026-10-24
Copyright (c) 2026 Hamdal Afridho, Mas Suryanto H.S
Article can trace at:

Article Metrics

Abstract Views: 0 times PDF Downloaded: 0 times

Abstract


This study aims to predict the Estimate at Completion (EAC) and Estimate Completion Date (ECD) using conventional EVM and an integrated EVM–Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model, and to compare their levels of accuracy. This quantitative comparative-experimental study was conducted on the Construction Project of the DITRESKRIMSUS Building of the East Java Regional Police. Secondary data were obtained from the Bill of Quantities (RAB), S-Curve, weekly reports, and financial reports. EVM analysis was performed using Microsoft Project, while the ANN model was processed using RapidMiner through five review scenarios with hyperparameter optimization. The accuracy level was validated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) against the actual conditions. The results show that the EVM-ANN prediction of ECD produced an RMSE of 1.673 weeks, with the most optimal prediction of 40 weeks obtained in scenarios D and E, more accurate than conventional EVM 3.493 weeks, whose most optimal prediction was 42 weeks in scenario A. Conversely, the conventional EVM prediction of EAC produced an RMSE of IDR 10,842,909.21, with the most optimal prediction of IDR 41,071,398,678.62 in scenario E, more accurate than EVM-ANN's RMSE of IDR 48,727,488.73, whose most optimal prediction was IDR 41,059,371,369.22 in scenario D.

Keywords


Earned Value Management, Artificial Neural Network, Microsoft Project, Project Control, RMSE.

References


manda, A. L. (2020). Analisa Kinerja Proyek Menggunakan Earned Value Method (Studi Kasus: Gedung Telkom Group Manyar). Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember.

Balali, A., Valipour, A., Antucheviciene, J., & Šaparauskas, J. (2020). Improving the results of the earned value management technique using artificial neural networks in construction projects. Symmetry, 12(10), 1745.

Gante, D. V., Silva, D. L., & Leopoldo, M. P. (2022). Forecasting construction cost using artificial neural network for road projects in the department of public works and highways region XI. In Modern Management based on Big Data III (hal. 64–71). IOS Press.

Hadju, A. P. F., Fauzi, A., & Purnamasari, R. (2024). Evaluasi Perhitungan Waktu dan Biaya Pekerjaan Konstruksi Pembangunan Tower ITS 2 Surabaya Menggunakan Metode Earned Value Management (EVM). Jurnal Teknik ITS, 13(3), D187–D193.

Hartono, W., Rahardi, A. P., & Handayani, D. (2024). Pengendalian Biaya dan Waktu Menggunakan Earned Value Analysis (EVA) dengan Aplikasi Microsoft Project 2019 Pada Proyek Penataan Kali Pepe Hilir pintu air Demangan Lama-Pintu Air Demangan Baru Surakarta. Jurnal Matriks Teknik Sipil, 12(2).

Herwanto, H. W., Widiyaningtyas, T., & Indriana, P. (2019). Penerapan algoritme linear regression untuk prediksi hasil panen tanaman padi. Jurnal Nasional Teknik Elektro dan Teknologi Informasi, 8(4), 364–370.

Hidayatullah, M. T. (2019). Penerapan Algoritma Neural Network Untuk Memprediksi Kelayakan Calon Asisten Dosen. Fakultas Teknik Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta. Fakultas Teknik Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta.

Hutagaol, K., Prajoko, A., Dasrah, I., Prayogo, M. F. S., & Putrafakhmi, D. (2025). Variance Analysis: Earned Value Management (EVM). SINERGI: Jurnal Riset Ilmiah, 2(1), 369–377.

Khairunnisa, N., Widayati, R., & Jamal, M. (2020). Analisis Pengendalian Biaya dan Waktu Terhadap Proyek Konstruksi Dengan Metode Earned Value (Studi Kasus: Proyek Perumahan Penajam Paser Utara). Teknologi Sipil: Jurnal Ilmu Pengetahuan dan Teknologi, 4(1), 9–19.

Luthan, P. L. A., & Sitanggang, N. (2016). Penerapan Earned Value Pada Aplikasi Microsoft Project Sebagai Pengendali Proyek (Studi Kasus Pada Proyek di Kota Medan). Konferensi Nasional Teknik Sipil 10 (KoNTekS 10).

Mahapatni, I. A. P. S. (2019). Metode perencanaan dan pengendalian proyek konstruksi. Unhi Press.

Nurani, A. T., Setiawan, A., & Susanto, B. (2023). Perbandingan kinerja regresi decision tree dan regresi linear berganda untuk prediksi bmi pada dataset asthma. Jurnal Sains dan Edukasi Sains, 6(1), 34–43.

Priyo, M., & Sudiro, S. (2017). Studi Optimasi Waktu dan Biaya dengan Metode Time Cost Trade Off pada Proyek Konstruksi: Studi Kasus Proyek Jalan Bugel-Galur-Poncosari Cs. Tahap I, Provinsi DI Yogyakarta. Semesta Teknika, 20(2), 172–186.

Re Cecconi, F., & Khodabakhshian, A. (2024). Leveraging AI for Construction Project Performance Predictions. Construction Management Workshop, 77–86.

Setiyono, S., Hajji, A. M., Larasati, A., & Alfianto, I. (2024). Simulasi Progres Proyek Konstruksi Time Performance Menggunakan Earned Value Management dengan Integrasi Artificial Neural Network: Time Performance Construction Project Simulation Using Earned Value Management with Artificial Neural Network Integration. Bentang: Jurnal Teoritis dan Terapan Bidang Rekayasa Sipil, 12(1), 37–48.

Soetjipto, J. W., Ratnaningsih, A., Arifin, S., Adinanda, D. A., & Wicaksono, K. H. (2024). Improving the effectiveness of project scheduling by using Earned Value Management and Artificial Neural Network. Revista ingeniería de construcción, 39(2), 161–173.

Suarna, N., & Prihartono, W. (2025). Algoritma Regresi Linier Sederhana untuk Prediksi Penggunaan Volume Air Berdasarkan Jenis Pelanggan PDAM. Jurnal Kecerdasan Buatan dan Teknologi Informasi, 4(1), 43–52.

Supriatna, C., & Suharsono, T. N. (2025). Metode ANN Untuk Prediksi Tanah Longsor Berdasarkan Curah Hujan Di Kabupaten Purwakarta. Journal of Data Analytics, Information, and Computer Science, 2(1), 1–9.

Sutawinaya, I. P., Astawa, I. N. G. A., & Hariyanti, N. K. D. (2017). Perbandingan Metode Jaringan Saraf Tiruan pada Peramalan Curah Hujan. Logic: Jurnal Rancang Bangun dan Teknologi, 17(2), 92–97.

Wendell, R. E., Lowe, T. J., & Gordon, M. M. (2023). Dangers in using earned duration and other earned value metrics to measure a project’s schedule performance. Central European Journal of Operations Research, 31(2), 665–680.

Widodo, S. (2015). Peningkatan Akurasi Neural Network Dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Genetika Pada Prediksi Penyakit Kanker Serviks. STMIK Nusa Mandiri Jakarta.

Widyaningrum, V. T., & Romadhon, A. S. (2014). Pengaruh Pemberian Momentum pada Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation. Prosiding Semnastek, 1(1).

Yalçın, G., Bayram, S., & Çıtakoğlu, H. (2024). Evaluation of earned value management-based cost estimation via machine learning. Buildings, 14(12), 3772.


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.

Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.